of Animal Behavior in the Prediction of Unnatural Disasters
by Servando Gonzalez
Copyright © 2007, by Servando Gonzalez. All rights reserved.
December 26, 2004, a tsunami killed thousands of people in Asia
and East Africa. But wildlife officials reported almost no deaths
among the animals at Sri Lanka's Yala National Park, a wildlife
reserve populated by hundreds of wild animals including elephants,
leopards, and monkeys. Some scientists believe that these animals
sensed the danger long before humans and managed to escape to
-----But the fact that animals, for
some unknown reason, can predict natural disasters is not new.
In 373 B.C. historians recorded that animals, including rats,
snakes and weasels, deserted the Greek city of Helice in droves
just days before a quake devastated the place. This may be the
first recorded instance of such reporting.
-----Accounts of similar animal anticipation
of earthquakes and other natural disasters have been mentioned
across the centuries since. Catfish moving violently, chickens
that stop laying eggs and bees leaving their hive in a panic have
been reported. Countless pet owners claimed to have witnessed
their cats and dogs acting strangely before the ground shook --
barking or whining for no apparent reason, or showing signs of
nervousness and restlessness.
-----It is also known that several
countries have successfully predicted the occurrence of natural
disasters by the careful observation of the behavior of animals,
China and Japan among them. In 1975 Chinese officials ordered
the evacuation of Haicheng, a city with one million people, just
days before a 7.3-magnitude quake. Only a small portion of the
population was hurt or killed. If the city had not been evacuated,
it is estimated that the number of fatalities and injuries could
have exceeded 150,000. In September 2003 a medical doctor in Japan
published a study indicating that erratic behavior in dogs, such
as excessive barking or biting, could be used to forecast quakes.
-----Of late, some scientists have
been studying the behavior of animals for the prediction of natural
disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis, etc. Chinese
scientists continue to look at animal behavior as an aid to earthquake
prediction. Biologist Rupert Sheldrake, author of the books, Dogs
that Know When Their Owners Are Coming Home and The Sense
of Being Stared At, mentions that the Chinese have had several
notable successes and also a few false alarms. Nevertheless, he
has done his own study looking at animal behavior before major
earthquakes, including the Northridge, California, quake in 1994,
and the Greek and Turkish quakes in 1999. In all cases, he said,
there were reports of peculiar behavior beforehand, including
dogs mysteriously howling in the night, caged birds becoming restless,
and nervous cats hiding.
-----More research is needed and
is long overdue, said Sheldrake, but the results may be promising
and could save uncountable human lives. Therefore, he proposes
“a special hotline or Web site where people could call or
write in if they saw strange behavior in their animals. A computer
would then analyze the incoming messages to determine where they
originated. A sudden surge of calls or e-mails from a particular
region might indicate that a quake was imminent.”
-----The information would be checked
to make sure the observations were not caused by other circumstances
known to affect the behavior of animals, such as fireworks, or
changes in weather. And to avoid issuing false warnings, Sheldrake
said, the data would be used in conjunction with other monitoring
devices such as seismological measurements.
-----"Such a project would capture
the imagination of millions of people, encourage large-scale public
participation and research—and would be fun," he said.
"What is holding this research back is not money but dogmatism
But, what about the prediction unnatural disasters?
Is there a way to predict the occurrence of these events?
-----Well, there might be.
I am advancing a new hypothesis relating to the observation of
animals for the prediction of unnatural disasters, particularly
terrorist attacks. But, these predictions will be based on the
observation of two-legged animals, namely humans.
-----The fact that some humans have
shown strange behavior before the occurrence of a terrorist attack
is well known and has been extensively documented. For example,
it was widely reported that, eight hours before the September
11 events, San Francisco mayor Willie Brown received a strange
call, from whom he described as his airport security, (later it
was known that it was from Condy Rice, who apparently was moonlighting
as a baggage handler at SFO) advising him to be cautious about
-----In the same fashion, it became
known that, just four days before the 9/11 events, Florida governor
Jeb Bush signed an executive order authorizing the use of the
Florida National Guard in the event of “acts of terrorism.”
-----But Willie Brown and Jeb Bush
were not the only ones. It was reported that Attorney General
John Ashcroft stopped flying commercial airliners in the weeks
before September 11. Even more revealing is the fact that, though
the Pentagon is perhaps the building housing more generals per
square feet, no general was reported hurt after the 9/11 attack
to the Pentagon. Some people have speculated that the generals
got their foreknowledge from an ultra secret Pentagon experiment
in extra sensory perception and remote viewing.
-----Actually, far from being isolated
incidents, these cases of estrange human behavior prior to an
unnatural disaster abound. On October 2005, a terrorist attack
on New York’s subway was thwarted when some highly placed
officials in the Department of Homeland Security sent e-mails
to their relatives and close friends to stay out of the subway
from October 7 through 10th. Some of the recipients of the e-mails
in turn send e-mails to their friends, thus starting an informational
chain reaction. Eventually, the information reached the Mayor’s
office, who apparently had been left out of the loop. He immediately
ordered to put thousands of extra police officers on patrol in
the subways. Once they discovered that the cat was out of the
bag, the officials at the Department of Homeland Security downplayed
the threat, and called it a hoax.
-----More recently, on the day of
the London bombings, Israeli Finance Minister Benjamin Netannyahu,
who was in Scotland attending a G8 meeting and was on his way
to a London hotel to speak in a conference, was instructed by
British authorities to stay put and not going anywhere. A few
minutes later an explosion destroyed the Liverpool Street subway
station, close to the hotel, killing many Londoners.
-----Also, it is interesting to note
that the day the Alfred B. Murrah building was destroyed in Oklahoma
City, no ATF of FBI field agents, normally working in the building
offices, were hurt, because they had called in sick that day.
In the same fashion, despite the fact that the largest CIA office
in Manhattan was located in one of the World Trade Center buildings,
no CIA field agent was reported killed on September 11. Also,
even though the WTC was located very close to Wall Street, no
senior banker was hurt in the WTC disaster. Moreover, in the cases
of the Murrah building, the WTC attack, and the London bombings,
there had been simulation exercises previous to the “terrorist”
-----Last, but not least, there are
some types of two-legged animals who, year after year, have been
predicting unnatural phenomena with an extraordinary accuracy.
I am talking about members the Council on Foreign Relations.
-----Just a couple of years after
the end of WWII, CFR member George Kennan predicted the beginning
of a Cold War with the Soviet Union and, Bingo!, a few moths later
the Cold War had begun.
-----In 1974 Henry Kissinger wrote,
National Security Study Memorandum 200, a classified study about
the need to stop Africans from consuming the natural resources
of their countries. As if on clue, next year good Comandante Fidel
sent his troops to “liberate” Africa from Yankee imperialism.
-----A few months after the Castroite
troops gained control of Angola, the country became one of the
main commercial partners of the U.S. in Africa. The Chase Manhattan
Bank, the Bankers Trust, the Citibank, and the Morgan Guaranty,
gave large loans to Angola. General Motors, General Tire, Caterpillar,
Boeing, IBM, NCR, Pfizer, Xerox, and other American companies
bloomed in Angola. 95 percent of Angola’s oil was exported
to the West. Half of the production of the Gulf Oil in Angola
ended up in American refineries.
-----In 1993 CFR member Samuel P.
Huntington predicted the coming clash of civilizations, and we
are currently in the midst of it. Just a few days ago, in a CFR-sponsored
online debate, CFR members Michael Levi and Graham T. Allison
discussed the possibility of the detonation of a nuclear device
in a major American city. Having in mind the CFR’s uncanny
ability for predicting unnatural disasters, I’d bet that,
sooner than later, this one will become a reality.
-----Consequently, I am proposing
the creation of a special hotline or Web site where people could
call or e-mail to report any strange behavior by senior members
of our government, Congress, Supreme Court judges, CIA, FBI, FEMA,
Office of Homeland Security senior officials, Pentagon generals
and senior CFR members.
-----The information would be checked
to make sure the observations were not caused by other circumstances
commonly known to affect the behavior of these particular type
of two-legged animals, such as lying, stealing, disinforming or
prevaricating. And to avoid issuing false warnings, the data would
be used in conjunction with other monitoring activities such as
observations of the World Economic Forum or Bilderberger Group
meetings, bipartisan Congress commission hearings, Bohemian Grove
gatherings, Skull & Bones reunions, United Nations sessions,
and other places where this type of two-legged animals usually
gather together to secretly conspire about how to change the world
for their own benefit.
-----A computer program would then
analyze the incoming messages to determine where they have originated.
A sudden surge of calls or e-mails from a particular area disclosing
that the two-legged animals under observation had stampeded to
secure undisclosed underground locations, like Mount Weather in
Virginia, Raven Rock in Maryland, or the Rockefellers’ underground
bunkers inside Iron Mountain in upstate New York, might indicate
that an unnatural disaster is imminent. Danger signals would be
posted in the Web site, and interested citizens would be notified
via phone and e-mail.
-----Among the danger signals to
watch I suggest:
• Unannounced, unusual fire or antiterrorist drills,
• Unusual absence or sudden disappearance of senior, key
executives or government officials,
• Rumors that some businessmen have recently raised the
insurance of their tall buildings, and that the new contracts
protection from loses from terrorist attacks,
• Children of senior FEMA, FBI, Office of Homeland Security
officials suddenly stopping taking subways or other means of
public transportation, or avoiding driving through tunnels or
• Sudden relaxation and reduction of security personnel
on airports, tunnels, bridges, ports, etc.
• Security personnel suddenly disappearing or being substituted
by unknown personnel.
• Possibility of new terrorist attacks discussed in the
• Increase in number of Foreign Affairs articles warning
about future terrorist actions.
-----Such a project would surely
capture the imagination of millions of people, encourage large-scale
public participation and research -- and would be fun. We should
not allow that dogmatism and narrow-mindedness hold this research
-----Granted, the system I am proposing
is not perfect, and may be prone to errors and misinterpretations.
But it would be a first step in the right direction. The results
may be promising and could save uncountable human lives.